Gold Futures Analysis for Today | Forexlive

**Gold Futures Analysis Today – tradeCompass for GC Gold Futures**

Current Market Snapshot for GC:

Gold Futures (GC) Price: $2,917.8 (+0.13% from Friday’s close)
Key Thresholds:
- Bearish Below: $2,919.3 (VWAP, POC, and prior key levels)
- Value Area High of today is at apx. 2922.5 and would be a legit area to go short, if you are seeking one (at your own risk). Same applies for 2924.5 which is the VWAP of 05 March 2025. The reward/risk potential there is huge, the stop would be tight (at your discretion but tight) and the potential is for a staggering 90 point swing short (with patience, most likely not for today if it wants to get there, but perhaps later this week).
- Bullish Above: $2,925.2 (Friday’s POC)
- Major Resistance Zone: $2,930 – $2,934.8
- Key Downside Targets: $2,908.3, $2,896.6, $2,885, $2,833.3

Bearish Bias Below $2,919.3

Gold futures are currently trading in bearish territory according to today’s TradeCompass levels. The price is below critical support levels, including:

VWAP and POC of today (~$2,920)
Value Area Low of March 5th ($2,919.8)
VWAP at the close of March 6th ($2,919.9)
Value Area Low of March 4th ($2,914.6)
Value Area Low of Friday ($2,914.8)

With the price holding below these key levels, it strengthens the case for continued downside pressure.

Upside Resistance – Bulls Face a Hard Road

If gold futures rise above $2,925.2, a shift toward a bullish bias could occur, as this level represents Friday’s POC. However, significant resistance exists just ahead:

$2,930 – $2,932.2 (Value Area Highs of Friday, Thursday, and Wednesday)
$2,934.8 (Value Area High of Tuesday)

This tight resistance cluster suggests that even if bulls push above $2,925.2, upside potential may be limited. Profit-taking and supply could emerge quickly within this heavy resistance zone.

A clear breakout above $2,935 could open the door to $2,950, but the path is not easy.

Bearish Targets for Gold Futures

Given the bearish structure, traders favoring the short side may consider these downside levels for partial profit-taking:

$2,908.3 – 1st Lower Standard Deviation of VWAP (March 4th)
$2,896.6 – Below the psychological $2,900 level and near the 2nd Lower Standard Deviation of VWAP (March 4th)
$2,885 – 3rd Lower Standard Deviation of VWAP (March 4th) and $2,876 Feb 06 Point of Control
$2,833.3 – A deep target near the Value Area High of February 3rd

A move toward $2,833.3 would represent a major decline of over 80 points, potentially unfolding over the week rather than intraday. This aligns with a potential retest of a lower channel boundary on the daily chart, reinforcing the larger bearish orientation.

Gold Futures (GC) Daily Chart – Technical Snapshot

Gold futures daily chart – bearish

Bearish Breakdown: Price has crossed below the red diagonal support, indicating weakness.
Downside Target: Potential move toward the bottom of the ascending channel.
Swing short target (this is only an opinion)
- $2,833.3 (Major target, just above Feb 3 VAH)
Confirmation Needed: A sustained move below $2,900 strengthens the bearish case.

Overall Bias: Bearish, with a downside move likely if price remains below broken support.

**Conclusion – tradeCompass Bias Remains Bearish**

Gold futures are trading in bearish territory and struggling to reclaim key levels.
Bulls need a breakout above $2,925.2, but even then, resistance at $2,930 – $2,934.8 could stall upside attempts.
Bears have multiple targets to the downside, with $2,885 and potentially $2,833.3 as deeper objectives.
Larger technical picture aligns with bearish momentum, supporting a move toward lower support levels.

tradeCompass – A Decision Support Tool for Orientation

tradeCompass is not a rigid rule-based system but rather a decision support tool that provides an orientation around key price levels where market participants may take action. The prices mentioned should not be interpreted as precise reversal points, but rather as tight zones or close areas where reactions may occur. Price action can behave in various ways:

Reverse before reaching a key level.
Reverse slightly after touching the level.
Move through the level with little reaction, depending on market conditions.

Since every trader operates with a different timeframe, strategy, and decision-support tools, tradeCompass allows flexibility in how you choose to apply it. One critical benefit of tradeCompass is its ability to provide a heads-up on key levels, which can be used in multiple ways:

If you’re already in a trade, these levels highlight areas where other traders may step in, helping you decide on partial profit-taking opportunities.
If you’re considering exiting too early, tradeCompass can provide further potential targets that may still be within reach, helping you maximize profits.
If you’re holding a position against the bias, tradeCompass can act as a reality check by signaling when the price has crossed a key bullish or bearish threshold, prompting you to reassess risk, tighten stops, or exit.

For example, in today’s case, bearish sentiment dominates for Gold Futures below 2,919.3, while a bullish shift only occurs for Gold Futures above 2,925.2. However, these numbers should be treated as zones, not absolutes—if the GC! price reaches 2,925.3 before reversing downward, it still falls within the vicinity of the bullish threshold. Likewise, if you’re short, but price moves above the bullish threshold, tradeCompass may indicate that it’s time to tighten your stop or reconsider the position.

Bottom line: Use tradeCompass as an orientation tool to enhance your decision-making, rather than as a rigid trading system. It helps traders identify key inflection points, assess risk, and refine trade execution strategies while allowing for individual interpretation based on personal trading styles

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Gold futures insights from our AI supported orderFlow Intel, update 8:27 AM

Monday, March 10, 2025

Greenwich Mean Time (GMT)

Gold Futures (GC) Order Flow Update – Bearish Bias Developing

Market Overview:

Gold futures (GC) are showing increasing bearish momentum, with price failing to hold a key support zone at 2914.8 (Value Area Low). This indicates that sellers are maintaining control, and recent price action suggests further downside risk unless buyers step in with aggressive demand.

Order Flow Insights:

Sustained Negative Delta: Recent price action shows a strong increase in sell-side aggression, with negative delta confirming that sellers are absorbing buy orders.
Lack of Buyer Absorption: There are no clear signs of large buyers stepping in to absorb the sell-off, making a continued decline more likely.
Key Support Has Broken: The failure to hold above the prior value area suggests price may seek lower levels where buyers might regain control.

Prediction Score: -7 (Bearish Bias)

We use an AI-based order flow scoring system ranging from -10 (extremely bearish) to +10 (extremely bullish). A score of -7 reflects strong downside pressure, but not yet an extreme selling event.

What to Watch Next:

Further downside risk if price remains below 2914.8 without signs of buy-side absorption.
A potential shift to neutral or bullish only if buyers reclaim the lost value area with increased volume.

This order flow analysis provides a real-time decision tool for traders and investors. Gold remains vulnerable unless clear support emerges. Stay alert to shifts in order flow dynamics